高盛在衝突初期的情景分析中給出兩種測算：若伊朗油氣基礎設施遭嚴重打擊、每日減少約175萬桶供應持續六個月，布倫特峰值可能升至每桶90美元；若霍爾木茲實際封鎖，則有可能突破100美元。
So far so good. Now suppose, finally, that I'm a writer trying to make an argument, and that my argument critically depends on a bit of a tall claim, on the sort of claim that a lot of people might dismiss the first time they heard it. Suppose, for example, that I'm trying to convince my readers that Cambridge, Massachusetts is the intellectual capital of the world. As part of my argument I'd have to rule out every other city, including very plausible contenders like New York. To do so, I might try something like this:
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使用 Lumia 1020 拍摄反而是当下的影像旗舰，越来越聪明，也越来越自动。算法帮你决定曝光、色彩、锐化，一切都很讨喜，却总带着一点计算过度的痕迹。1020 的照片则完全相反——笨拙、直接，但真实。也正因为这种「机械味」和光学味，它在今天反而有了某种时代错位的魅力，它也确实变成了一件热门的收藏品。
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